Capital Market Finance

Dollar erases losses as stocks plunge again

The dollar on Monday erased early losses as a global selloff in stocks intensified, boosting its safe-haven appeal.

A 9 per cent rally by the dollar over the past two weeks ended on Friday after major central banks stepped up their dollar injection facilities to cope with a global scramble for funding.

However, Monday’s trading brought a collapse in stock markets, raising concern that central bank actions were not enough.

“The result is that the banking system simply doesn’t have enough dollars to lend to everyone who wants to borrow them.

“For now, it seems that the demand for the U.S. dollar is insatiable,” said Marshall Gittler, head of investment research at BDSwiss Group.

Against a basket of other currencies =USD, the dollar rose 0.2 per cent to 102.82 after falling as much as 0.7 per cent earlier, up nearly 1 per cent from Asian lows.

On Friday, it hit a January 2017 high of 102.99.

According to latest positioning data, also fuelling the dollar’s rise was a turnaround in dollar positions among hedge funds to a net short from an overall long bet.

That raised speculation that the dollar’s rally could be partly explained by short covering by traders.

Legislators in Washington were unable to pass U.S. stimulus measures on Sunday as Republicans and Democrats tussled over a proposed 1 trillion dollars spending package, stoking disquiet about the dollar’s gains.

Analysts said the majority of investors preferred to hold cash.

“We’ve moved from risk-off to a phase where major players are competing with each other for the safety of holding dollars in cash,” said Yukio Ishizuki, FX strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo.

According to him, there are still a lot of investors who need to sell riskier assets, and they want to hold their money in dollars.

Against the yen JPY=EBS, the U.S. currency bounced between gains and losses.

It last traded down 0.6 per cent at 110.07.

Versus the Swiss franc CHF=, the dollar fell 0.2 per cent to 0.98 francs as the Swiss central bank increase foreign currency interventions to their highest since the Brexit referendum in 2016.

The dollar initially rose against the euro EUR=EBS to the strongest since April 2017, then pared gains to trade 0.2 per cent lower at 1.0636 dollars per euro.

The dollar also closed in on multi-year highs against the Australian AUD=D3 and New Zealand NZD=D3 dollars as the economic costs of self-isolation triggered the largest intraday decline ever in New Zealand shares.

 

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